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The Foxboro Beacon

Sun, Sep 27 · EverBank Stadium

Loss
NE logo6–35JAX logo

at JAX

The Take

Sunday at EverBank Stadium was an absolute catastrophe—the kind of performance that makes you question everything. Drake Maye delivered the sixth-worst quarterback game of the entire NFL season, and a defense that couldn't stop Jacksonville if they were playing in slow motion watched the Jaguars convert every single red-zone trip into a touchdown while we limped to 6 points on two field goals. The 29-point loss is the worst we've suffered since Week 17 of 2024, and Jacksonville's +0.23 EPA per play allowed ranks among the twelve most dominant defensive outings all season—except it was *their* offense doing the dominating against us. We lost the turnover battle by two, converted just 33% of our third downs while Jacksonville hit 67% of theirs, and the whole thing was rotten from start to finish. Marcus Jones was the only bright spot, keeping us in it as much as anyone could, but when you're losing 35-6 on the road, even the silver linings feel like fool's gold.

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What Stood Out

  1. Drake Maye's -0.51 EPA per dropback is the 10th-worst quarterback game in the NFL this season.

    Compared against all 217 quarterback games this season with 15+ dropbacks.

  2. A 29-point loss, the worst since Week 17, 2024.

    Compared against every Patriots regular-season game since 1999 (444 games).

Win Probability

Advanced Stats

Offensive EPA/play
-0.25
Defensive EPA/play
0.23
Success Rate (off/def)
37% / 51%

Share of plays that improved the offense's chances of scoring. League average this season: 44%.

Turnover Margin
-2

EPA is from New England's side: positive helped New England. Play text is the NFL's own.

New England turnovers (3)

  1. Q1 3:58 · 1st & 10 at JAX 35EPA -5.80Fumble lost

    10-D.Maye sacked at JAX 42 for -7 yards. FUMBLES, RECOVERED by JAX-52-D.Hamilton at JAX 38.

  2. Q2 1:02 · 3rd & Goal at JAX 2EPA -4.47Interception

    10-D.Maye pass short right intended for 86-E.Chism INTERCEPTED by 12-T.Hunter [23-F.Oluokun] at JAX -9. Touchback.

  3. Q3 1:03 · 1st & 10 at NE 27EPA -7.13Interception

    (Shotgun) 10-D.Maye pass short left intended for 18-K.Williams INTERCEPTED by 4-J.Jones at NE 36. 4-J.Jones pushed ob at NE 5 for 31 yards (10-D.Maye).

Takeaways (1)

  1. Q2 11:13 · 1st & 10 at JAX 20EPA +5.40Interception

    (Shotgun) 16-T.Lawrence pass short middle intended for 85-B.Strange INTERCEPTED by 25-M.Jones (23-J.Reed) at JAX 33. 25-M.Jones to JAX 21 for 12 yards (76-E.Cleveland; 3-J.Meyers).

Explosive Play Rate (for/against)
12% / 10%

EPA is from New England's side: positive helped New England. Play text is the NFL's own.

New England explosive plays (7) — runs of 10+ and passes of 15+ yards

  1. Q1 11:44 · 3rd & 5 at NE 33EPA +2.7021 yds

    (Shotgun) 10-D.Maye pass short left to 13-M.Hollins pushed ob at JAX 46 for 21 yards (12-T.Hunter; 27-C.Ransaw).

  2. Q2 10:34 · 1st & 30 at JAX 41EPA +0.7916 yds

    (Shotgun) 86-E.Chism pass short right to 13-M.Hollins to JAX 25 for 16 yards (6-A.Johnson; 29-E.Murray) [23-F.Oluokun].

  3. Q2 3:33 · 2nd & 9 at NE 29EPA +2.8538 yds

    (Shotgun) 10-D.Maye pass deep left to 3-D.Douglas to JAX 33 for 38 yards (12-T.Hunter).

  4. Q4 15:00 · 3rd & 8 at NE 11EPA +2.4718 yds

    (Shotgun) 10-D.Maye pass deep right to 13-M.Hollins ran ob at NE 29 for 18 yards. Penalty on JAX-4-J.Jones, Defensive Holding, declined.

  5. Q4 14:48 · 1st & 10 at NE 29EPA +1.3521 yds

    (Shotgun) 10-D.Maye pass deep left to 87-R.Doubs to 50 for 21 yards (6-A.Johnson).

  6. Q4 14:22 · 1st & 10 at MID 50EPA +2.0934 yds

    (No Huddle, Shotgun) 10-D.Maye pass deep right to 18-K.Williams ran ob at JAX 16 for 34 yards (4-J.Jones).

  7. Q4 5:25 · 3rd & 8 at NE 41EPA +2.4720 yds

    (Shotgun) 16-T.DeVito pass deep middle to 87-R.Doubs to JAX 39 for 20 yards (27-C.Ransaw).

JAX explosive plays (6) — runs of 10+ and passes of 15+ yards

  1. Q1 10:10 · 1st & 10 at JAX 12EPA -0.6412 yds

    33-B.Tuten left end to JAX 24 for 12 yards (7-C.Davis).

  2. Q1 2:24 · 3rd & 5 at JAX 43EPA -2.0318 yds

    (Shotgun) 16-T.Lawrence pass short middle to 11-P.Washington to NE 39 for 18 yards (31-K.Byard).

  3. Q2 7:16 · 2nd & 1 at NE 44EPA -1.1923 yds

    16-T.Lawrence pass short left to 85-B.Strange pushed ob at NE 21 for 23 yards (7-C.Davis). NE-7-C.Davis was injured during the play.

  4. Q3 9:08 · 2nd & 6 at JAX 32EPA -1.3415 yds

    16-T.Lawrence pass short left to 33-B.Tuten pushed ob at JAX 47 for 15 yards (14-R.Spillane; 53-C.Elliss) [50-G.Jacas].

  5. Q3 1:13 · 3rd & Goal at NE 17EPA -3.9017 yds

    (Shotgun) 16-T.Lawrence pass deep left to 11-P.Washington for 17 yards, TOUCHDOWN. Penalty on NE-25-M.Jones, Defensive Pass Interference, declined.

  6. Q4 8:56 · 3rd & 4 at NE 16EPA -2.4215 yds

    (Shotgun) 16-T.Lawrence left end to NE 1 for 15 yards.

Red Zone (off/def)
0/4 · 5/5

EPA is from New England's side: positive helped New England. Play text is the NFL's own.

New England red-zone trip 1 of 4 · Field goal

  1. Q2 9:20 · 3rd & 6 at JAX 17EPA -0.87

    (Shotgun) 10-D.Maye pass incomplete deep right to 13-M.Hollins. NE-70-G.Van Roten was injured during the play.

  2. Q2 9:12 · 4th & 6 at JAX 17EPA +0.32

    8-A.Borregales 35 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-47-J.Ashby, Holder-19-M.Wishnowsky.

New England red-zone trip 2 of 4 · Turnover

  1. Q2 2:00 · 1st & 10 at JAX 18EPA -0.15

    (Shotgun) 32-T.Henderson left guard to JAX 14 for 4 yards (91-A.Armstead; 23-F.Oluokun).

  2. Q2 1:19 · 2nd & 6 at JAX 14EPA +1.30

    (Shotgun) 10-D.Maye scrambles up the middle to JAX 6 for 8 yards (52-D.Hamilton). FUMBLES (52-D.Hamilton), and recovers at JAX 5. The Replay Official reviewed the loose ball recovery ruling, and the play was Upheld. The ruling on the field stands.

  3. Q2 1:12 · 1st & Goal at JAX 5EPA -0.55

    (Shotgun) 10-D.Maye left end to JAX 4 for 1 yard (41-J.Hines-Allen; 4-J.Jones).

  4. Q2 1:07 · 2nd & Goal at JAX 4EPA -0.96

    74-C.Lomu reported in as eligible. 38-R.Stevenson up the middle to JAX 2 for 2 yards (52-D.Hamilton).

  5. Q2 1:02 · 3rd & Goal at JAX 2EPA -4.47

    10-D.Maye pass short right intended for 86-E.Chism INTERCEPTED by 12-T.Hunter [23-F.Oluokun] at JAX -9. Touchback.

New England red-zone trip 3 of 4 · Missed field goal

  1. Q3 9:59 · 3rd & 6 at JAX 20EPA -1.00

    (Shotgun) 10-D.Maye pass incomplete short right to 87-R.Doubs (1-M.Brown).

  2. Q3 9:54 · 4th & 6 at JAX 20EPA -4.05

    8-A.Borregales 38 yard field goal is No Good, Wide Right, Center-47-J.Ashby, Holder-19-M.Wishnowsky.

New England red-zone trip 4 of 4 · Field goal

  1. Q4 13:42 · 1st & 10 at JAX 16EPA -0.47

    (Shotgun) 10-D.Maye pass incomplete deep right to 13-M.Hollins. ** Injury Update: JAX-52-D.Hamilton has returned to the game.

  2. Q4 13:37 · 2nd & 10 at JAX 16EPA -0.73

    (Shotgun) 10-D.Maye pass incomplete deep left to 3-D.Douglas.

  3. Q4 13:32 · 3rd & 10 at JAX 16EPA -1.30

    (Shotgun) 10-D.Maye pass short right to 13-M.Hollins to JAX 7 for 9 yards (29-E.Murray). PENALTY on NE-13-M.Hollins, Taunting, 15 yards, enforced at JAX 7.

JAX red-zone trip 1 of 5 · Touchdown

  1. Q2 14:16 · 2nd & 2 at NE 15EPA +0.01

    33-B.Tuten right guard to NE 12 for 3 yards (25-M.Jones).

  2. Q2 13:33 · 1st & 10 at NE 12EPA +0.45

    (Shotgun) 16-T.Lawrence pass incomplete short left to 20-A.Abdullah (7-C.Davis).

  3. Q2 13:30 · 2nd & 10 at NE 12EPA -2.37Touchdown

    (Shotgun) 16-T.Lawrence pass short middle to 19-J.Cameron for 12 yards, TOUCHDOWN.

JAX red-zone trip 2 of 5 · Touchdown

  1. Q2 5:55 · 2nd & 4 at NE 15EPA +0.26

    (Shotgun) 33-B.Tuten up the middle to NE 13 for 2 yards (14-R.Spillane).

  2. Q2 5:15 · 3rd & 2 at NE 13EPA -0.47

    (Shotgun) 24-C.Rodriguez up the middle to NE 10 for 3 yards (97-M.Williams; 50-G.Jacas).

  3. Q2 4:34 · 1st & Goal at NE 10EPA +0.44

    16-T.Lawrence pass incomplete short left to 87-N.Boerkircher (25-M.Jones). ** Injury Update: NE-90-C.Barmore has returned to the game.

  4. Q2 4:28 · 2nd & Goal at NE 10EPA -2.49Touchdown

    (Shotgun) 16-T.Lawrence pass short middle to 3-J.Meyers for 10 yards, TOUCHDOWN.

JAX red-zone trip 3 of 5 · Touchdown

  1. Q3 3:44 · 1st & 10 at NE 17EPA +0.24

    24-C.Rodriguez left guard to NE 14 for 3 yards (91-E.Ponder).

  2. Q3 3:02 · 2nd & 7 at NE 14EPA +1.39

    16-T.Lawrence sacked at NE 18 for -4 yards (sack split by 91-E.Ponder and 50-G.Jacas).

  3. Q3 2:16 · 3rd & 11 at NE 18EPA -2.93

    (Shotgun) 16-T.Lawrence pass short right to 3-J.Meyers to NE 5 for 13 yards (7-C.Davis). PENALTY on NE-7-C.Davis, Face Mask, 3 yards, enforced at NE 5.

  4. Q3 1:47 · 1st & Goal at NE 2EPA +0.77

    (Shotgun) PENALTY on JAX-75-E.Pregnon, False Start, 5 yards, enforced at NE 2 - No Play.

  5. Q3 1:29 · 1st & Goal at NE 7EPA +0.50

    16-T.Lawrence pass incomplete short right to 11-P.Washington.

  6. Q3 1:22 · 2nd & Goal at NE 7EPA +0.87

    (Shotgun) 16-T.Lawrence pass incomplete short left to 11-P.Washington.

  7. Q3 1:19 · 3rd & Goal at NE 7EPA +1.10

    (Shotgun) 16-T.Lawrence pass short left to 11-P.Washington for 7 yards, TOUCHDOWN NULLIFIED by Penalty. PENALTY on JAX-70-C.Van Lanen, Illegal Use of Hands, 10 yards, enforced at NE 7 - No Play.

  8. Q3 1:13 · 3rd & Goal at NE 17EPA -3.90Touchdown

    (Shotgun) 16-T.Lawrence pass deep left to 11-P.Washington for 17 yards, TOUCHDOWN. Penalty on NE-25-M.Jones, Defensive Pass Interference, declined.

JAX red-zone trip 4 of 5 · Touchdown

  1. Q3 0:54 · 1st & Goal at NE 5EPA -1.15Touchdown

    24-C.Rodriguez up the middle for 5 yards, TOUCHDOWN.

JAX red-zone trip 5 of 5 · Touchdown

  1. Q4 9:40 · 2nd & 7 at NE 19EPA +0.25

    33-B.Tuten up the middle to NE 16 for 3 yards (31-K.Byard).

  2. Q4 8:56 · 3rd & 4 at NE 16EPA -2.42

    (Shotgun) 16-T.Lawrence left end to NE 1 for 15 yards.

  3. Q4 8:06 · 1st & Goal at NE 1EPA -0.65Touchdown

    33-B.Tuten up the middle for 1 yard, TOUCHDOWN.

3rd Down (off/def)
4/12 · 8/12

EPA is from New England's side: positive helped New England. Play text is the NFL's own.

New England on third down — 4 of 12 converted

  1. Q1 11:44 · 3rd & 5 at NE 33EPA +2.70Converted

    (Shotgun) 10-D.Maye pass short left to 13-M.Hollins pushed ob at JAX 46 for 21 yards (12-T.Hunter; 27-C.Ransaw).

  2. Q1 10:25 · 3rd & 9 at JAX 45EPA -1.76Stopped

    (Shotgun) 10-D.Maye pass incomplete short middle to 85-H.Henry.

  3. Q1 4:43 · 3rd & 2 at JAX 37EPA +1.02Converted

    38-R.Stevenson right tackle to JAX 35 for 2 yards (23-F.Oluokun; 44-T.Walker).

  4. Q2 12:03 · 3rd & 3 at NE 27EPA -1.32Stopped

    (Shotgun) 10-D.Maye sacked at NE 27 for 0 yards (99-R.Orhorhoro).

  5. Q2 9:20 · 3rd & 6 at JAX 17EPA -0.87Stopped

    (Shotgun) 10-D.Maye pass incomplete deep right to 13-M.Hollins. NE-70-G.Van Roten was injured during the play.

  6. Q2 1:02 · 3rd & Goal at JAX 2EPA -4.47Stopped

    10-D.Maye pass short right intended for 86-E.Chism INTERCEPTED by 12-T.Hunter [23-F.Oluokun] at JAX -9. Touchback.

  7. Q3 13:52 · 3rd & 1 at NE 47EPA -1.94Stopped

    10-D.Maye up the middle to NE 47 for no gain (41-J.Hines-Allen). (Virtual Measurement).

  8. Q3 9:59 · 3rd & 6 at JAX 20EPA -1.00Stopped

    (Shotgun) 10-D.Maye pass incomplete short right to 87-R.Doubs (1-M.Brown).

  9. Q4 15:00 · 3rd & 8 at NE 11EPA +2.47Converted

    (Shotgun) 10-D.Maye pass deep right to 13-M.Hollins ran ob at NE 29 for 18 yards. Penalty on JAX-4-J.Jones, Defensive Holding, declined.

  10. Q4 13:32 · 3rd & 10 at JAX 16EPA -1.30Stopped

    (Shotgun) 10-D.Maye pass short right to 13-M.Hollins to JAX 7 for 9 yards (29-E.Murray). PENALTY on NE-13-M.Hollins, Taunting, 15 yards, enforced at JAX 7.

  11. Q4 5:25 · 3rd & 8 at NE 41EPA +2.47Converted

    (Shotgun) 16-T.DeVito pass deep middle to 87-R.Doubs to JAX 39 for 20 yards (27-C.Ransaw).

  12. Q4 2:43 · 3rd & 7 at JAX 25EPA -0.99Stopped

    (Shotgun) 16-T.DeVito pass incomplete deep left to 18-K.Williams.

JAX on third down — 8 of 12 converted

  1. Q1 14:02 · 3rd & 8 at JAX 14EPA +0.34Stopped

    (Shotgun) 16-T.Lawrence scrambles left end to JAX 21 for 7 yards (97-M.Williams).

  2. Q1 8:30 · 3rd & 4 at JAX 30EPA +1.27Stopped

    (Shotgun) 16-T.Lawrence pass short right to 5-L.Allen to JAX 32 for 2 yards (0-C.Gonzalez).

  3. Q1 2:24 · 3rd & 5 at JAX 43EPA -2.03Converted

    (Shotgun) 16-T.Lawrence pass short middle to 11-P.Washington to NE 39 for 18 yards (31-K.Byard).

  4. Q1 0:13 · 3rd & 1 at NE 30EPA -0.96Converted

    64-W.Milum reported in as eligible. 24-C.Rodriguez right end to NE 23 for 7 yards (23-J.Reed; 31-K.Byard).

  5. Q2 5:15 · 3rd & 2 at NE 13EPA -0.47Converted

    (Shotgun) 24-C.Rodriguez up the middle to NE 10 for 3 yards (97-M.Williams; 50-G.Jacas).

  6. Q2 0:07 · 3rd & 3 at JAX 48EPA -0.25Stopped

    (Shotgun) 16-T.Lawrence pass incomplete short right.

  7. Q3 6:40 · 3rd & 1 at NE 34EPA -0.65Converted

    16-T.Lawrence up the middle to NE 32 for 2 yards (97-M.Williams).

  8. Q3 4:28 · 3rd & 9 at NE 31EPA -2.11Converted

    (Shotgun) 16-T.Lawrence pass short middle to 3-J.Meyers to NE 17 for 14 yards (0-C.Gonzalez) [53-C.Elliss].

  9. Q3 2:16 · 3rd & 11 at NE 18EPA -2.93Converted

    (Shotgun) 16-T.Lawrence pass short right to 3-J.Meyers to NE 5 for 13 yards (7-C.Davis). PENALTY on NE-7-C.Davis, Face Mask, 3 yards, enforced at NE 5.

  10. Q3 1:13 · 3rd & Goal at NE 17EPA -3.90Converted

    (Shotgun) 16-T.Lawrence pass deep left to 11-P.Washington for 17 yards, TOUCHDOWN. Penalty on NE-25-M.Jones, Defensive Pass Interference, declined.

  11. Q4 8:56 · 3rd & 4 at NE 16EPA -2.42Converted

    (Shotgun) 16-T.Lawrence left end to NE 1 for 15 yards.

  12. Q4 1:18 · 3rd & 10 at JAX 25EPA +0.37Stopped

    20-A.Abdullah right guard to JAX 27 for 2 yards (92-J.Farmer; 49-E.Hunter).

Player of the Game (Win Probability Added)
Marcus Jones
Marcus Jones
+10% WPA

Mostly on defense.

EPA is from New England's side: positive helped New England. Play text is the NFL's own.

Every play credited to M.Jones (win probability added)

  1. Q1 7:52 · 4th & 2 at JAX 32EPA +0.56-0.4% win prob.

    9-L.Cooke punts 40 yards to NE 28, Center-46-R.Matiscik. 25-M.Jones pushed ob at NE 29 for 1 yard (27-C.Ransaw; 19-J.Cameron).

  2. Q2 11:13 · 1st & 10 at JAX 20EPA +5.40+10.7% win prob.

    (Shotgun) 16-T.Lawrence pass short middle intended for 85-B.Strange INTERCEPTED by 25-M.Jones (23-J.Reed) at JAX 33. 25-M.Jones to JAX 21 for 12 yards (76-E.Cleveland; 3-J.Meyers).

Good, Bad & Ugly

Bad
  • The offense averaged -0.25 EPA per play — worse than an average offense.
  • Allowed JAX touchdowns on 5 of 5 red-zone trips (100%), well above the 55% league norm.
Ugly
  • Lost the turnover battle by 2 — too many extra possessions to hand an opponent.