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The Foxboro Beacon

Sun, Oct 4 · Highmark Stadium

Win
NE logo29–26BUF logo

at BUF

The Take

Drake Maye turned in a masterclass in clutch execution on the road in Buffalo, engineering a 29-26 victory that had absolutely no business being as clean as it was—four red-zone trips, four touchdowns, a perfect conversion rate that blew past the league norm, and that unforgettable Efton Chism one-handed catch with 1:50 left to ice it. Yes, Maye coughed it up twice, but he overcame those miscues with three touchdown passes that said everything about his poise under pressure in a hostile environment. The defense bent more than we'd like—Buffalo converting third downs at 50% and scoring on 60% of their own red-zone chances—but when it mattered most, this offense was simply clinical. Sometimes a win on the road in an AFC East game doesn't need to be pretty; it just needs to be yours, and this one belonged to the Patriots.

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Win Probability

Advanced Stats

Offensive EPA/play
0.19
Defensive EPA/play
0.10
Success Rate (off/def)
51% / 40%

Share of plays that improved the offense's chances of scoring. League average this season: 44%.

Turnover Margin
0

EPA is from New England's side: positive helped New England. Play text is the NFL's own.

New England turnovers (2)

  1. Q2 10:14 · 2nd & 9 at BUF 23EPA -5.43Fumble lost

    (Shotgun) 10-D.Maye sacked at BUF 30 for -7 yards (sack split by 99-T.Parker and 91-E.Oliver). FUMBLES (99-T.Parker), RECOVERED by BUF-97-G.Gaines at BUF 30.

  2. Q2 0:16 · 1st & 10 at NE 36EPA -3.14Interception

    (Shotgun) 10-D.Maye pass short left intended for 87-R.Doubs INTERCEPTED by 23-D.Alford at NE 46. 23-D.Alford to NE 9 for 37 yards (55-J.Wilson).

Takeaways (2)

  1. Q2 0:23 · 1st & 10 at NE 47EPA +1.78Fumble lost

    (Shotgun) 17-J.Allen pass short middle to 10-K.Shakir to NE 39 for 8 yards (14-R.Spillane). FUMBLES (14-R.Spillane), RECOVERED by NE-91-E.Ponder at NE 36.

  2. Q4 1:14 · 2nd & 6 at BUF 40EPA +1.73Interception

    (Shotgun) 17-J.Allen pass deep left intended for 5-J.Palmer INTERCEPTED by 4-C.Woodson at NE 19. 4-C.Woodson to NE 19 for no gain (5-J.Palmer).

Explosive Play Rate (for/against)
15% / 15%

EPA is from New England's side: positive helped New England. Play text is the NFL's own.

New England explosive plays (11) — runs of 10+ and passes of 15+ yards

  1. Q1 12:47 · 2nd & 8 at NE 5EPA +1.5115 yds

    (Shotgun) 10-D.Maye scrambles left guard pushed ob at NE 20 for 15 yards (42-D.Williams).

  2. Q1 9:38 · 1st & 10 at NE 44EPA +1.3920 yds

    10-D.Maye to NE 43 for -1 yards. FUMBLES, and recovers at NE 43. 10-D.Maye pass short left to 85-H.Henry pushed ob at BUF 36 for 20 yards (22-C.Gardner-Johnson).

  3. Q1 7:40 · 4th & 3 at BUF 29EPA +3.0815 yds

    (Shotgun) 10-D.Maye pass short left to 87-R.Doubs pushed ob at BUF 14 for 15 yards (1-M.Hairston).

  4. Q2 14:10 · 2nd & 10 at NE 40EPA +1.3211 yds

    (Shotgun) 32-T.Henderson left end to BUF 49 for 11 yards (8-T.Bernard).

  5. Q2 8:17 · 2nd & 10 at NE 37EPA +2.2126 yds

    (Shotgun) 10-D.Maye pass deep right to 13-M.Hollins to BUF 37 for 26 yards (21-D.Igbinosun).

  6. Q2 7:35 · 1st & 10 at BUF 37EPA +0.6510 yds

    38-R.Stevenson up the middle to BUF 27 for 10 yards (24-C.Bishop; 23-D.Alford).

  7. Q2 6:25 · 2nd & 10 at BUF 27EPA +2.8526 yds

    10-D.Maye scrambles left end pushed ob at BUF 1 for 26 yards (23-D.Alford; 24-C.Bishop).

  8. Q3 13:08 · 1st & 10 at NE 42EPA +0.9313 yds

    74-C.Lomu reported in as eligible. 10-D.Maye scrambles right end pushed ob at BUF 45 for 13 yards (90-D.Carter).

  9. Q3 11:49 · 2nd & 9 at BUF 44EPA +1.9119 yds

    10-D.Maye pass deep left to 13-M.Hollins to BUF 25 for 19 yards (21-D.Igbinosun). Penalty on BUF-21-D.Igbinosun, Defensive Pass Interference, declined.

  10. Q4 3:00 · 2nd & 10 at BUF 47EPA +1.4019 yds

    (Shotgun) 10-D.Maye pass deep right to 86-E.Chism to BUF 28 for 19 yards (1-M.Hairston). ** Injury Update: BUF-94-L.Jackson has returned to the game.

  11. Q4 1:55 · 3rd & 5 at BUF 23EPA +3.5523 yds

    (Shotgun) 10-D.Maye pass deep right to 86-E.Chism for 23 yards, TOUCHDOWN.

BUF explosive plays (8) — runs of 10+ and passes of 15+ yards

  1. Q2 3:24 · 1st & 10 at BUF 43EPA -3.5251 yds

    17-J.Allen pass deep middle to 10-K.Shakir pushed ob at NE 6 for 51 yards (22-C.Woods; 4-C.Woodson).

  2. Q2 0:29 · 1st & 10 at BUF 31EPA -1.0622 yds

    (Shotgun) 17-J.Allen pass deep left to 0-K.Coleman ran ob at NE 47 for 22 yards.

  3. Q4 15:00 · 2nd & 2 at BUF 28EPA -1.0117 yds

    4-J.Cook left end pushed ob at BUF 45 for 17 yards (25-M.Jones).

  4. Q4 14:26 · 1st & 10 at BUF 45EPA -0.5810 yds

    4-J.Cook up the middle to NE 45 for 10 yards (53-C.Elliss).

  5. Q4 13:26 · 3rd & 7 at NE 42EPA -2.8022 yds

    (Shotgun) 17-J.Allen pass deep left to 0-K.Coleman to NE 20 for 22 yards (28-K.Vildor).

  6. Q4 6:36 · 1st & 10 at BUF 20EPA -1.0316 yds

    4-J.Cook left tackle to BUF 36 for 16 yards (4-C.Woodson).

  7. Q4 5:06 · 3rd & 4 at BUF 42EPA -2.3624 yds

    (Shotgun) 17-J.Allen pass short left to 0-K.Coleman to NE 34 for 24 yards (31-K.Byard).

  8. Q4 4:33 · 1st & 10 at NE 34EPA -3.4734 yds

    (No Huddle, Shotgun) 17-J.Allen pass deep middle to 0-K.Coleman for 34 yards, TOUCHDOWN.

Red Zone (off/def)
4/4 · 3/5

EPA is from New England's side: positive helped New England. Play text is the NFL's own.

New England red-zone trip 1 of 4 · Touchdown

  1. Q1 7:06 · 1st & 10 at BUF 14EPA +2.05Touchdown

    (Shotgun) 10-D.Maye pass short middle to 87-R.Doubs for 14 yards, TOUCHDOWN [15-G.Rousseau].

New England red-zone trip 2 of 4 · Touchdown

  1. Q2 5:41 · 1st & Goal at BUF 1EPA +0.71Touchdown

    74-C.Lomu reported in as eligible. 38-R.Stevenson left guard for 1 yard, TOUCHDOWN. ** Injury Update: NE-44-R.Gilliam has returned to the game.

New England red-zone trip 3 of 4 · Touchdown

  1. Q3 10:13 · 3rd & 2 at BUF 17EPA -1.41

    (Shotgun) 10-D.Maye pass incomplete deep left to 3-D.Douglas. NE-13-M.Hollins was injured during the play.

  2. Q3 10:09 · 4th & 2 at BUF 17EPA +2.54

    (Shotgun) 10-D.Maye pass short left to 87-R.Doubs ran ob at BUF 8 for 9 yards.

  3. Q3 9:33 · 1st & Goal at BUF 8EPA +0.50

    32-T.Henderson right guard to BUF 2 for 6 yards (90-D.Carter; 1-M.Hairston). BUF-23-D.Alford was injured during the play.

  4. Q3 9:11 · 2nd & Goal at BUF 2EPA -0.86

    74-C.Lomu reported in as eligible. 10-D.Maye pass incomplete short right to 82-E.Raridon.

  5. Q3 9:06 · 3rd & Goal at BUF 2EPA +1.41

    74-C.Lomu reported in as eligible. 10-D.Maye sacked at BUF 4 for -2 yards (94-L.Jackson). PENALTY on BUF-1-M.Hairston, Defensive Holding, 1 yard, enforced at BUF 2 - No Play.

  6. Q3 8:54 · 1st & Goal at BUF 1EPA -0.54

    74-C.Lomu reported in as eligible. 10-D.Maye FUMBLES (Aborted) at BUF 2, and recovers at BUF 2.

  7. Q3 8:18 · 2nd & Goal at BUF 2EPA +1.16Touchdown

    74-C.Lomu reported in as eligible. 10-D.Maye pass short right to 87-R.Doubs for 2 yards, TOUCHDOWN.

New England red-zone trip 4 of 4 · Touchdown

  1. Q4 1:50EPA +1.05

    TWO-POINT CONVERSION ATTEMPT. 10-D.Maye pass to 38-R.Stevenson is complete. ATTEMPT SUCCEEDS.

BUF red-zone trip 1 of 5 · Touchdown

  1. Q1 1:07 · 1st & 10 at NE 19EPA +0.87

    4-J.Cook left tackle ran ob at NE 20 for -1 yards (54-D.Muasau).

  2. Q1 0:35 · 2nd & 11 at NE 20EPA +0.04

    (Shotgun) 17-J.Allen pass short left to 88-D.Knox to NE 15 for 5 yards (53-C.Elliss).

  3. Q2 15:00 · 3rd & 6 at NE 15EPA -1.50

    (Shotgun) 17-J.Allen pass short right to 10-K.Shakir to NE 8 for 7 yards (7-C.Davis).

  4. Q2 14:21 · 1st & Goal at NE 8EPA -1.56Touchdown

    (Shotgun) 4-J.Cook right end for 8 yards, TOUCHDOWN.

BUF red-zone trip 2 of 5 · Touchdown

  1. Q2 2:43 · 1st & Goal at NE 6EPA +0.49

    (No Huddle) 4-J.Cook up the middle to NE 6 for no gain (4-C.Woodson; 7-C.Davis).

  2. Q2 2:00 · 2nd & Goal at NE 6EPA +1.33

    (Shotgun) 17-J.Allen pass incomplete short right to 0-K.Coleman. PENALTY on BUF-73-D.Dawkins, Illegal Use of Hands, 10 yards, enforced at NE 6 - No Play.

  3. Q2 1:51 · 2nd & Goal at NE 16EPA +0.62

    (Shotgun) 17-J.Allen pass incomplete short right to 2-D.Moore.

  4. Q2 1:48 · 3rd & Goal at NE 16EPA -2.56

    (Shotgun) 17-J.Allen pass incomplete short right to 2-D.Moore (25-M.Jones) [53-C.Elliss]. PENALTY on NE-25-M.Jones, Defensive Holding, 5 yards, enforced at NE 16 - No Play. PENALTY on NE, Unsportsmanlike Conduct, 5 yards, enforced between downs.

  5. Q2 1:40 · 1st & 5 at NE 6EPA -0.39

    4-J.Cook left guard to NE 2 for 4 yards (50-G.Jacas; 53-C.Elliss).

  6. Q2 1:06 · 2nd & 1 at NE 2EPA +0.42

    17-J.Allen pass incomplete short left to 0-K.Coleman (25-M.Jones).

  7. Q2 1:03 · 3rd & 1 at NE 2EPA -1.51Touchdown

    17-J.Allen up the middle for 2 yards, TOUCHDOWN.

BUF red-zone trip 3 of 5 · Field goal

  1. Q2 0:05 · 1st & Goal at NE 9EPA -0.09

    16-T.Bass 27 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-69-R.Ferguson, Holder-39-T.Doman.

BUF red-zone trip 4 of 5 · Field goal

  1. Q4 13:00 · 1st & 10 at NE 20EPA +0.18

    (No Huddle, Shotgun) 26-T.Johnson up the middle to NE 17 for 3 yards (91-E.Ponder).

  2. Q4 12:21 · 2nd & 7 at NE 17EPA +0.97

    (Shotgun) 17-J.Allen left end to NE 20 for -3 yards (28-K.Vildor).

  3. Q4 11:53 · 3rd & 10 at NE 20EPA +1.06

    (Shotgun) 17-J.Allen pass short right to 26-T.Johnson to NE 20 for no gain (25-M.Jones).

  4. Q4 11:11 · 4th & 10 at NE 20EPA -0.53

    16-T.Bass 38 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-69-R.Ferguson, Holder-39-T.Doman.

BUF red-zone trip 5 of 5 · Touchdown

  1. Q4 4:27EPA +0.95

    TWO-POINT CONVERSION ATTEMPT. 17-J.Allen pass to 5-J.Palmer is incomplete. ATTEMPT FAILS.

3rd Down (off/def)
5/11 · 6/12

EPA is from New England's side: positive helped New England. Play text is the NFL's own.

New England on third down — 5 of 11 converted

  1. Q1 8:19 · 3rd & 11 at BUF 37EPA +0.19Stopped

    (Shotgun) 10-D.Maye pass short left to 13-M.Hollins to BUF 29 for 8 yards (21-D.Igbinosun; 55-M.Hoecht).

  2. Q2 0:45 · 3rd & 10 at NE 35EPA -0.55Stopped

    (Shotgun) 10-D.Maye pass incomplete short left to 38-R.Stevenson [9-B.Chubb].

  3. Q3 13:47 · 3rd & 1 at NE 36EPA +0.70Converted

    76-M.Moses reported in as eligible. 38-R.Stevenson left tackle to NE 42 for 6 yards (42-D.Williams; 22-C.Gardner-Johnson).

  4. Q3 10:13 · 3rd & 2 at BUF 17EPA -1.41Stopped

    (Shotgun) 10-D.Maye pass incomplete deep left to 3-D.Douglas. NE-13-M.Hollins was injured during the play.

  5. Q3 4:59 · 3rd & 5 at NE 31EPA +1.75Converted

    (Shotgun) 10-D.Maye pass short right to 3-D.Douglas ran ob at NE 41 for 10 yards.

  6. Q3 3:38 · 3rd & 7 at NE 44EPA -1.52Stopped

    (Shotgun) 10-D.Maye pass incomplete short middle to 87-R.Doubs (15-G.Rousseau) [15-G.Rousseau].

  7. Q3 1:38 · 3rd & 1 at NE 46EPA -2.17Stopped

    74-C.Lomu reported in as eligible. 38-R.Stevenson left guard to NE 45 for -1 yards (42-D.Williams, 52-K.Elarms-Orr).

  8. Q4 9:49 · 3rd & 1 at NE 35EPA +0.44Converted

    10-D.Maye up the middle to NE 36 for 1 yard (90-D.Carter).

  9. Q4 7:30 · 3rd & 17 at NE 29EPA -0.18Stopped

    (Shotgun) 10-D.Maye pass short left to 38-R.Stevenson to NE 42 for 13 yards (15-G.Rousseau).

  10. Q4 1:55 · 3rd & 5 at BUF 23EPA +3.55Converted

    (Shotgun) 10-D.Maye pass deep right to 86-E.Chism for 23 yards, TOUCHDOWN.

  11. Q4 0:55 · 3rd & 10 at NE 19EPA +0.53Converted

    10-D.Maye pass short right to 85-H.Henry pushed ob at NE 31 for 12 yards (24-C.Bishop).

BUF on third down — 6 of 12 converted

  1. Q1 13:48 · 3rd & 5 at BUF 38EPA +1.56Stopped

    (Shotgun) 17-J.Allen pass incomplete deep left to 86-D.Kincaid (31-K.Byard).

  2. Q1 5:43 · 3rd & 8 at BUF 40EPA -2.05Converted

    (Shotgun) 17-J.Allen pass short right to 2-D.Moore ran ob at NE 49 for 11 yards (7-C.Davis).

  3. Q1 4:01 · 3rd & 8 at NE 47EPA +0.56Stopped

    (Shotgun) 2-D.Moore left end to NE 41 for 6 yards (14-R.Spillane).

  4. Q2 15:00 · 3rd & 6 at NE 15EPA -1.50Converted

    (Shotgun) 17-J.Allen pass short right to 10-K.Shakir to NE 8 for 7 yards (7-C.Davis).

  5. Q2 8:43 · 3rd & 3 at BUF 37EPA +1.50Stopped

    17-J.Allen pass incomplete deep middle to 5-J.Palmer. Penalty on BUF-73-D.Dawkins, Offensive Holding, declined.

  6. Q2 4:07 · 3rd & 1 at BUF 42EPA -0.30Converted

    17-J.Allen left guard to BUF 43 for 1 yard (94-C.Durden; 14-R.Spillane).

  7. Q2 1:03 · 3rd & 1 at NE 2EPA -1.51Converted

    17-J.Allen up the middle for 2 yards, TOUCHDOWN.

  8. Q3 7:07 · 3rd & 8 at BUF 43EPA +1.48Stopped

    (Shotgun) 17-J.Allen pass short right to 0-K.Coleman to BUF 44 for 1 yard (7-C.Davis).

  9. Q3 2:40 · 3rd & 4 at BUF 17EPA +1.55Stopped

    (Shotgun) 17-J.Allen pass incomplete short left to 10-K.Shakir.

  10. Q4 13:26 · 3rd & 7 at NE 42EPA -2.80Converted

    (Shotgun) 17-J.Allen pass deep left to 0-K.Coleman to NE 20 for 22 yards (28-K.Vildor).

  11. Q4 11:53 · 3rd & 10 at NE 20EPA +1.06Stopped

    (Shotgun) 17-J.Allen pass short right to 26-T.Johnson to NE 20 for no gain (25-M.Jones).

  12. Q4 5:06 · 3rd & 4 at BUF 42EPA -2.36Converted

    (Shotgun) 17-J.Allen pass short left to 0-K.Coleman to NE 34 for 24 yards (31-K.Byard).

Player of the Game (Win Probability Added)
Drake Maye
Drake Maye
+56% WPA

Mostly as a passer.

EPA is from New England's side: positive helped New England. Play text is the NFL's own.

Every play credited to D.Maye (win probability added)

  1. Q1 12:47 · 2nd & 8 at NE 5EPA +1.51+2.8% win prob.

    (Shotgun) 10-D.Maye scrambles left guard pushed ob at NE 20 for 15 yards (42-D.Williams).

  2. Q1 11:35 · 2nd & 9 at NE 21EPA +1.51+2.8% win prob.

    (Shotgun) 10-D.Maye pass short middle to 82-E.Raridon to NE 33 for 12 yards (24-C.Bishop).

  3. Q1 10:16 · 2nd & 7 at NE 36EPA +0.97+1.8% win prob.

    (Shotgun) 10-D.Maye pass short middle to 85-H.Henry to NE 44 for 8 yards (99-T.Parker).

  4. Q1 9:38 · 1st & 10 at NE 44EPA +1.39+6.7% win prob.

    10-D.Maye to NE 43 for -1 yards. FUMBLES, and recovers at NE 43. 10-D.Maye pass short left to 85-H.Henry pushed ob at BUF 36 for 20 yards (22-C.Gardner-Johnson).

  5. Q1 8:24 · 2nd & 11 at BUF 37EPA -0.92-3.3% win prob.

    (Shotgun) 10-D.Maye pass incomplete short right to 38-R.Stevenson (21-D.Igbinosun).

  6. Q1 8:19 · 3rd & 11 at BUF 37EPA +0.19-0.5% win prob.

    (Shotgun) 10-D.Maye pass short left to 13-M.Hollins to BUF 29 for 8 yards (21-D.Igbinosun; 55-M.Hoecht).

  7. Q1 7:40 · 4th & 3 at BUF 29EPA +3.08+7.9% win prob.

    (Shotgun) 10-D.Maye pass short left to 87-R.Doubs pushed ob at BUF 14 for 15 yards (1-M.Hairston).

  8. Q1 7:06 · 1st & 10 at BUF 14EPA +2.05+5.0% win prob.

    (Shotgun) 10-D.Maye pass short middle to 87-R.Doubs for 14 yards, TOUCHDOWN [15-G.Rousseau].

  9. Q2 14:15 · 1st & 10 at NE 40EPA -0.52-1.6% win prob.

    (Shotgun) 10-D.Maye pass incomplete short left to 32-T.Henderson.

  10. Q2 12:18 · 1st & 10 at BUF 35EPA +0.63+1.4% win prob.

    (Shotgun) 10-D.Maye pass short middle to 85-H.Henry to BUF 27 for 8 yards (42-D.Williams).

  11. Q2 10:56 · 1st & 10 at BUF 24EPA -0.39-1.2% win prob.

    (Shotgun) 10-D.Maye scrambles up the middle to BUF 23 for 1 yard (90-D.Carter).

  12. Q2 10:14 · 2nd & 9 at BUF 23EPA -5.43-14.4% win prob.

    (Shotgun) 10-D.Maye sacked at BUF 30 for -7 yards (sack split by 99-T.Parker and 91-E.Oliver). FUMBLES (99-T.Parker), RECOVERED by BUF-97-G.Gaines at BUF 30.

  13. Q2 8:21 · 1st & 10 at NE 37EPA -0.46-1.6% win prob.

    10-D.Maye sacked at NE 27 for -10 yards (15-G.Rousseau). FUMBLES (15-G.Rousseau) [15-G.Rousseau], touched at NE 31, RECOVERED by BUF-24-C.Bishop at NE 27. 24-C.Bishop for 27 yards, TOUCHDOWN. The Replay Official reviewed the fumble ruling, and the play was REVERSED. 10-D.Maye pass incomplete short left to 86-E.Chism (15-G.Rousseau) [15-G.Rousseau].

  14. Q2 8:17 · 2nd & 10 at NE 37EPA +2.21+9.5% win prob.

    (Shotgun) 10-D.Maye pass deep right to 13-M.Hollins to BUF 37 for 26 yards (21-D.Igbinosun).

  15. Q2 6:25 · 2nd & 10 at BUF 27EPA +2.85+6.1% win prob.

    10-D.Maye scrambles left end pushed ob at BUF 1 for 26 yards (23-D.Alford; 24-C.Bishop).

  16. Q2 1:00 · 1st & 10 at NE 35EPA -0.23-1.6% win prob.

    (Shotgun) 10-D.Maye pass incomplete short right.

  17. Q2 0:53 · 2nd & 10 at NE 35EPA -0.29-2.7% win prob.

    (Shotgun) 10-D.Maye pass incomplete deep right to 13-M.Hollins.

  18. Q2 0:45 · 3rd & 10 at NE 35EPA -0.55-1.8% win prob.

    (Shotgun) 10-D.Maye pass incomplete short left to 38-R.Stevenson [9-B.Chubb].

  19. Q2 0:16 · 1st & 10 at NE 36EPA -3.14-19.9% win prob.

    (Shotgun) 10-D.Maye pass short left intended for 87-R.Doubs INTERCEPTED by 23-D.Alford at NE 46. 23-D.Alford to NE 9 for 37 yards (55-J.Wilson).

  20. Q3 14:16 · 2nd & 7 at NE 30EPA +0.63+0.7% win prob.

    74-C.Lomu reported in as eligible. 10-D.Maye pass short right to 87-R.Doubs ran ob at NE 36 for 6 yards [15-G.Rousseau].

  21. Q3 13:08 · 1st & 10 at NE 42EPA +0.93+4.1% win prob.

    74-C.Lomu reported in as eligible. 10-D.Maye scrambles right end pushed ob at BUF 45 for 13 yards (90-D.Carter).

  22. Q3 11:49 · 2nd & 9 at BUF 44EPA +1.91+6.2% win prob.

    10-D.Maye pass deep left to 13-M.Hollins to BUF 25 for 19 yards (21-D.Igbinosun). Penalty on BUF-21-D.Igbinosun, Defensive Pass Interference, declined.

  23. Q3 10:47 · 2nd & 8 at BUF 23EPA +0.26-0.5% win prob.

    (Shotgun) 10-D.Maye pass short right to 38-R.Stevenson ran ob at BUF 17 for 6 yards (8-T.Bernard).

  24. Q3 10:13 · 3rd & 2 at BUF 17EPA -1.41-4.2% win prob.

    (Shotgun) 10-D.Maye pass incomplete deep left to 3-D.Douglas. NE-13-M.Hollins was injured during the play.

  25. Q3 10:09 · 4th & 2 at BUF 17EPA +2.54+9.2% win prob.

    (Shotgun) 10-D.Maye pass short left to 87-R.Doubs ran ob at BUF 8 for 9 yards.

  26. Q3 9:11 · 2nd & Goal at BUF 2EPA -0.86-2.9% win prob.

    74-C.Lomu reported in as eligible. 10-D.Maye pass incomplete short right to 82-E.Raridon.

  27. Q3 8:54 · 1st & Goal at BUF 1EPA -0.54-2.2% win prob.

    74-C.Lomu reported in as eligible. 10-D.Maye FUMBLES (Aborted) at BUF 2, and recovers at BUF 2.

  28. Q3 8:18 · 2nd & Goal at BUF 2EPA +1.16+4.9% win prob.

    74-C.Lomu reported in as eligible. 10-D.Maye pass short right to 87-R.Doubs for 2 yards, TOUCHDOWN.

  29. Q3 5:42 · 2nd & 10 at NE 26EPA -0.20-0.3% win prob.

    (Shotgun) 10-D.Maye pass short right to 3-D.Douglas to NE 31 for 5 yards (22-C.Gardner-Johnson).

  30. Q3 4:59 · 3rd & 5 at NE 31EPA +1.75+5.7% win prob.

    (Shotgun) 10-D.Maye pass short right to 3-D.Douglas ran ob at NE 41 for 10 yards.

  31. Q3 4:19 · 1st & 15 at NE 36EPA +0.34+1.4% win prob.

    (Shotgun) 10-D.Maye pass short left to 38-R.Stevenson to NE 44 for 8 yards (42-D.Williams; 99-T.Parker).

  32. Q3 3:42 · 2nd & 7 at NE 44EPA -0.87-3.0% win prob.

    10-D.Maye pass incomplete short left to 18-K.Williams (55-M.Hoecht).

  33. Q3 3:38 · 3rd & 7 at NE 44EPA -1.52-3.4% win prob.

    (Shotgun) 10-D.Maye pass incomplete short middle to 87-R.Doubs (15-G.Rousseau) [15-G.Rousseau].

  34. Q4 9:49 · 3rd & 1 at NE 35EPA +0.44+2.4% win prob.

    10-D.Maye up the middle to NE 36 for 1 yard (90-D.Carter).

  35. Q4 7:30 · 3rd & 17 at NE 29EPA -0.18+1.7% win prob.

    (Shotgun) 10-D.Maye pass short left to 38-R.Stevenson to NE 42 for 13 yards (15-G.Rousseau).

  36. Q4 4:21 · 1st & 10 at NE 27EPA +0.72+0.8% win prob.

    74-C.Lomu reported in as eligible. 10-D.Maye pass short left to 85-H.Henry to NE 41 for 14 yards (42-D.Williams).

  37. Q4 3:47 · 1st & 10 at NE 41EPA -0.55-2.6% win prob.

    10-D.Maye pass incomplete short right to 32-T.Henderson.

  38. Q4 3:42 · 2nd & 10 at NE 41EPA +1.38+7.6% win prob.

    (Shotgun) 10-D.Maye pass short left to 87-R.Doubs to BUF 47 for 12 yards (24-C.Bishop).

  39. Q4 3:06 · 1st & 10 at BUF 47EPA -0.44-3.0% win prob.

    (Shotgun) 10-D.Maye pass incomplete deep right to 87-R.Doubs (1-M.Hairston).

  40. Q4 3:00 · 2nd & 10 at BUF 47EPA +1.40+9.7% win prob.

    (Shotgun) 10-D.Maye pass deep right to 86-E.Chism to BUF 28 for 19 yards (1-M.Hairston). ** Injury Update: BUF-94-L.Jackson has returned to the game.

  41. Q4 2:00 · 2nd & 5 at BUF 23EPA -0.46-2.3% win prob.

    (Shotgun) 10-D.Maye pass incomplete deep left to 18-K.Williams.

  42. Q4 1:55 · 3rd & 5 at BUF 23EPA +3.55+19.2% win prob.

    (Shotgun) 10-D.Maye pass deep right to 86-E.Chism for 23 yards, TOUCHDOWN.

  43. Q4 1:50EPA +1.05+10.5% win prob.

    TWO-POINT CONVERSION ATTEMPT. 10-D.Maye pass to 38-R.Stevenson is complete. ATTEMPT SUCCEEDS.

  44. Q4 1:00 · 2nd & 10 at NE 19EPA -0.20-0.1% win prob.

    74-C.Lomu reported in as eligible. 10-D.Maye pass incomplete short left to 86-E.Chism.

  45. Q4 0:55 · 3rd & 10 at NE 19EPA +0.53+1.0% win prob.

    10-D.Maye pass short right to 85-H.Henry pushed ob at NE 31 for 12 yards (24-C.Bishop).

Good, Bad & Ugly

Good
  • Scored touchdowns on 4 of 4 red-zone trips (100%), well above the 55% league norm.
  • The offense averaged +0.19 EPA per play — better than an average offense.
Bad
  • The defense allowed +0.10 EPA per play — worse than an average defense.